Mass vaccination campaigns began in December. Since then, more than 25 million people from over 42 different countries have been vaccinated against COVID-19. However, global COVID-19 cases surpassed 88.8 million, and the death toll is over 1.9 million people. In the Americas, there are more than 39 million cases, over 28 million in Europe, more than 12 million cases in South-East Asia, and over 2.1 million in Africa. The worst hit countries are the US, India and Brazil, followed by Russia, the UK and France.
WHO
The global initiative to ensure rapid and equitable access to COVID-19 vaccines for all countries, COVAX, announced additional deals to ensure access to COVD-19 vaccine candidates. COVAX currently has agreements in place to secure nearly two billion doses and further doses are expected to be secured through donors’ contributions. All COVAX’s 190 participating and eligible economies will be able to access doses to protect vulnerable groups in the first half of 2021. At least 1.3 billion donor-funded doses will be made available to 92 economies eligible for the Gavi COVAX AMC, targeting up to 20% population coverage by the end of the year. These mass vaccination efforts are expected to end the acute phase of the pandemic globally by the end of 2021.
On December 21, WHO Director-General's Dr. Tedros Adhanom announced that there have been reports of new variants of the COVID-19 virus in South Africa and the UK. This new variant is transmitted more easily but there is no evidence so far that it is more likely to cause severe disease or mortality. WHO is working with scientists to understand how these genetic changes affect how the virus behaves.
Dr. Adhanom has remarked that vaccines give real hope of bringing the pandemic under control in the next 12 months. 42 countries have started vaccinating their high-risk populations against COVID-19. However, these countries are high-income and middle-income countries, and vaccination plans also need to reach low-income countries.
IMF
WTO
According to a WTO report on world trade volume in the third quarter of 2020, merchandise trade increased by 11.6% compared to the previous quarter. However, the trade volume of the previous quarter fell by 12.7%. Despite the rebound, the volume of trade between July and September was still 5.6% lower than in the same period last year. More industrialized regions saw stronger recoveries in their merchandise exports. The highest export growth, compared with the previous quarter, was recorded in North America (20.1%), Europe (19.3%) and Asia (10.1%). However, if compared to the previous year, exports in the third quarter were still down in North America (‑9.0%), Europe (-5.4%), South and Central America (-3.4%) and other regions (‑11.4%). The only exception was Asia, with over 0.4% increase. Regarding import volumes, North America and Europe imports rose by 16.6% and 15% respectively, compared to the previous quarter, 2.1% rise in Asia, and additional 0.7% decline in South and Central America. If compared to the same period of 2019, imports fell in North America (‑4.7%), South and Central America (-19.4%), Europe (-6.4%), Asia (-4.7%) and other regions (‑14.7%).
Australia
New South Wales imposed a lockdown on December 18, in Sydney’s northern area, with over 250,000 residents, after a cluster of new infections had been found. Australian states and territories warned their residents to leave New South Wales and return as soon as possible if they wanted to avoid mandatory quarantine. In order to contain the spread, New South Wales opened new testing sites. In addition to this, cases of the new COVID-19 strain were found in Australia, the firsts in the Asia-Pacific region.
Brazil
The latest OECD Economic Survey of Brazil highlights Brazil’s response to the pandemic, which spared the country from more severe economic impact. However, the report states that the pandemic will still significantly affect well-being and prosperity. The Survey estimates the COVID-19 crisis will cause GDP to shrink by 5% in 2020, a 2.6% increase in 2021, and 2.2% in 2022. Reforms are needed in order to help firms to grow and compete internationally and to address rising poverty and inequality in the country.
Brazil plans to start COVID-19 vaccinations in January, with a total of 354 million doses secured for 2021. The public health situation in the country is negative, as of January 5, with 56,648 additional cases and 1,171 new COVID-19 deaths.
China
It is expected that China’s economy may expand by 9% in 2021, despite China’s GDP fell by 6.8% during the first quarter of 2020. At this moment, China leads the global recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, especially because of the improvement of the public health situation, and thanks to the stimulus measures.
Regarding consumption, China reported around 5% increased retail sales in November, if compared to the same period of 2019. This was the fourth successive month of expansion. Retail sales are a key indicator of consumption trends. In addition to this, industrial production and manufacturing also increased if compared to the previous year.
EU
On January 6, the European Commission approved Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine, the second vaccination which is green lighted in the EU, after the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine. This approval grants additional 160 million doses of vaccines.
By late December 2020, countries began mass vaccinations. However, the EU has been criticized for slow vaccine rollout, questioned about if there are enough purchased vaccines to immunize the majority of EU citizens.
The Council of the EU and the European Parliament agreed provisionally on the EU4Health program for 2021-2027 with a budget of €5.1 billion. This program is aimed to support national policies and promote coordination, particularly by: 1) supporting health promotion and disease prevention, 2) contributing to the protection of people in the EU from serious cross-border threats to health, 3) increasing the use of digital tools and services in the health area, also by the establishment of a European Health Data Space, 4) increasing cross-border cooperation, (i.e. by European Reference Networks), and 5) supporting global commitments and health initiatives by international organizations, in particular the WHO.
On December 15, the European Council called for strengthening resilience and countering hybrid threats, including disinformation in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. The Council notes that new technologies and crises, such as the ongoing pandemic, offer opportunities for hostile actors to expand their interference activities. These pose an additional challenge for Member States and EU institutions, besides the crisis itself. In addition to this, the Council acknowledges that the pandemic makes the EU and its member states more vulnerable to hybrid threats. Such threats include the increased spread of disinformation and manipulative interference. A comprehensive approach involving effective cooperation and coordination in a multidisciplinary way and involving multiple stakeholders is needed to address such threats.
On December 17, the European Council adopted the regulation laying down the EU’s multiannual financial framework for 2021-2027, which provides for a long-term budget of €1,074.3 billion, including the integration of the European Development Fund. This fund, together with the Next Generation EU recovery instrument of €750 billion, is expected to allow the EU to provide an unprecedented €1.8 trillion of funding over the coming years to support recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic as well as the EU's long-term priorities across different policy areas.
In addition to this, the Council approved conclusions on making the recovery from COVID-19 circular and green. The conclusions highlight the role of circular economy in the recovery and link it to digitalization.
On December 18, the Council also approved conclusions on the lessons learned from the pandemic, covering four areas: 1) improving EU crisis management and preparedness by strengthening the EU health security framework, 2) ensuring the supply of medicinal products, 3) improving access to and sharing of health data, and 4) strengthening the EU’s role in global health.
Belgium
France
Germany
Italy
The Netherlands
Spain
United Kingdom
In order to contain the new strain of COVID-19, several countries banned flights and other means of transport from the UK on December 21. France shut its borders to UK haulers which caused a block across the Eurochannel and collapsed surrounding roads. When the border reopened, thousands of truckers kept queuing on highways for several days.
London declared a “major incident” on January 8, because hospitals in the city were almost overwhelmed, mostly to cope with the new COVID-19 strain. On the same day, the UK reported the highest daily death toll since the pandemic began.
India
According to a recent USDA GAIN report, the weekly food retail update indicates grocery sales in Hyderabad have returned to pre-COVID-19 levels. Stores are able to source locally produced food. However, due to supply chain disruptions and higher costs, the amount of imported products is still limited, and sometimes results in a shortage of these products. In Chennai, grocery sales have also returned to pre-COVID-19 levels. The delivery of imported products is also limited, but there are enough stocks to meet the demand. According to the report, Indian consumers are increasingly demanding “immunity boosting” foods such as fresh fruits, nuts and spices.
Japan
South Korea
United States
On January 4, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) announced the continuation of the Farmers to Families Food Box Program, with the fifth round of over $1.5 billion food purchases. Up to date, over 3.3 billion meals were distributed to families across the nation. This program is part of the Coronavirus Food Assistance Program (CFAP), which was developed in response to the pandemic. Using authority provided by the Families First Coronavirus Response Act, the USDA partnered with national, regional and local distributors, which were significantly impacted by the closure of restaurants, hotels and other food service businesses, to purchase and distribute agricultural products to US citizens in need.
On December 28, the US president signed the COVID-19 relief bill with a $2.3 trillion pandemic aid and spending package, restoring unemployment benefits and providing direct aid to families.
On December 18, the US authorized its second COVID-19 vaccine, developed by Moderna, and nearly 6 million doses are ready to be distributed across the country. By December 24, 1 million people in the US were vaccinated. It is expected that 100 million people will be immunized by the end of the first quarter of 2021, and another 100 million by halfway of the year.
The information above is a review of actions the INC has compiled from government sources, international organizations and press media. This news article is not intended to be exhaustive and it does not reflect the opinions of the INC. While the publishers believe that all information contained in this publication was correct at the time of publishing, they can accept no liability for any inaccuracies that may appear or loss suffered directly or indirectly by any reader as a result of any advertisement, editorial, photographs or other materials published in this news article.