The information contained herein was prepared between September and October 2025.
Türkiye. At the time of reporting, the Turkish hazelnut market was characterized by uncertainty, with the crop outcome still subject to varying projections. The 2025 crop is estimated below earlier expectations due to drought in western regions that had reduced yields, cracking results, and kernel size. While some industry sources anticipated around 550,000 MT in-shell, others were expecting about 450,000 MT. Larger calibers were expected to be limited, while smaller sizes were likely to remain available.
According to the Black Sea Exporters Association, 2024/25 exports closed at 309,000 MT (kernel basis), similar to the previous year. However, with prices having reached historic highs, much of the carryover, was being withheld. With the elevated prices, exports were projected to fall, with weaker domestic consumption also anticipated.
Chile. The 2025 harvest exceeded earlier projections. Later processed batches maintained good quality and were expected to enter the market, coinciding with the arrival of the northern hemisphere harvest. Continuing to align infrastructure with the growing production in the coming years will be essential to maintain position as a reliable counter-seasonal supplier.
USA. Growing conditions have been favorable in Oregon, albeit notably dry. This has resulted in very low kernel defects and humidity of early received nuts. Inshell sizing as well as kernel fill appeared to be normal. Rising prices and market uncertainty were anticipated to challenge domestic consumption and likely lead to large export shipments.
Italy. The 2025 crop was below potential due to premature fruit drop, a physiological disorder causing large losses. Lazio and Campania reported significant reductions. Climate change is considered a major contributing factor: erratic temperature, heat stress, spring frosts, drought and irregular rainfall all undermine pollination, seed development, aggravating the fruit drop issue.
