Türkiye’s 2025/26 crop is estimated at 528,000 metric tons in-shell, with kernel yields around 47-48%, and potentially 518,000 MT after additional de-husking losses. Quality is variable, with a larger share of small calibers. Supply was expected to remain adequate, supported by carryover, stronger outputs in other origins and softer demand. Chile’s 2026 crop is expected to be roughly 120,000 MT in-shell, while adequate early-season weather set expectations for a stable 2026 crop in USA.
The information contained herein was prepared between late January and February 2026.
Türkiye. As per the Black Sea Hazelnut Exporters’ Associations post-harvest assessments, the 2025/26 crop is estimated at 528,000 metric tons in-shell, with kernel yields around 47-48%, and potentially 518,000 MT after additional de-husking losses. Quality is variable, with a larger share of small calibers. At the time of reporting, supply was expected to remain adequate, supported by carryover, stronger outputs in other origins and softer demand.
Prices hit a record in September, corrected in November-December and steadied in January before continuing a downward trend. Exports through January were 51% below last season, which may lead to a sizeable carryover, though industry expected stronger demand later. Large buyers have secured cover through Q1 and Q2, while short‑term inquiries were coming from mid-size and smaller processors. Exporters, supported by ample inventories and favorable 2026 crop progress, were prepared to extend offers into Q3 and possibly Q4. Domestic consumption was set to decline as leading buyers cut back purchases, unable to pass higher prices on to consumers. The final balance of the season will depend on export performance, caliber availability and timing of industrial coverage.
Chile. After significant crop size growth and remarkable yields in 2025, the 2026 crop is expected to be roughly 120,000 MT in-shell. Winter and spring weather has been favorable with enough chilling hours and good conditions for pollination. With more hectares coming into production, the industry continues investing in infrastructure.
USA. The quality of the 2025 crop was excellent as the volume continues to grow. Kernel defects were low, with sizing slightly above average. Adequate early-season weather set expectations for a stable 2026 crop. Given increased pricing worldwide, many discretionary buyers have avoided using hazelnut wherever possible. High farmgate returns have encouraged growers to again consider planting additional area.
China. The 2025/26 crop is estimated higher than last year, driven by increased new acreage starting to bear. Production is expected to reach 100,000 MT in 2026.
