The initial crop forecast of 1.4 million MT (in-shell basis) should be deemed as objective. Production is reported above average from all origins except Yunnan, where harvest was delayed by 2-3 weeks due to unfavorable weather. In the rest of the producing regions harvest started normally, with smaller sizes but higher yields. COVID-19 quarantines have slowed down harvest, processing, logistics and consumption. International shipments were slow due to firm pricing during the Mid-Autumn Festival and Golden week holidays, and sharp competition.


As reported by the California Walnut Board/Commission, 2022 production is forecasted at 720,000 short tons in-shell basis (≈653,200 MT). The forecast is based on 400,000 bearing acres (≈161,900 ha), up 3% from 2021. Throughout the growing season, the state experienced hot and dry conditions with water allocations in many areas. Harvest began in early September with an anticipated completion by late October/early November. The late summer heat wave did some damage to the crop with 10% more darker kernels and 2% lower meat yields being reported in most varieties, including Chandler. The final crop size should exceed the initial estimate of 653,200 MT, although the utility of the crop, good kernels and salable product will probably come in under the estimate. With depressed prices, most growers will not be making any second passes to clean up the last remaining nuts in the field after November 1st.


The 2022 crop ended up in line with the original Chilenut estimation of 170,000 MT. Quality was similar to previous years; 92% extra light and light color, and size 30+. With better results than the last seasons, yield is up to 49.9% for Chandler. Shipments YTD reached 116,000 MT, slightly up from last season.

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